Kraken
the Atom by Dave Channon
Nuclear
Damage Control
By Karen Charman WhoWhatWhy.com 2/10/2012
What
if you were promoting an industry that had the potential
to kill and injure enormous numbers of people as well
as contaminate large areas of land for tens of thousands
of years? What if this industry created vast stockpiles
of deadly waste but nevertheless required massive amounts
of public funding to keep it going? My guess is that you
might want to hide that information.
From the heyday of the environmental movement in the late
1960s through the late 1970s, many people were openly
skeptical about the destructive potential of the nuclear
power industry. After the partial meltdown at Three Mile
Island in central Pennsylvania in March 1979 and the explosion
of Chernobyl’s unit four reactor in the Ukraine
in April 1986, few would have predicted that nuclear power
could ever shake off its global pariah status.
Yet, thanks to diligent lobbying efforts, strong government
support, and a full public-relations blitz over the past
decade, the once-reviled nuclear industry succeeded in
recasting itself in the public mind as an essential, affordable,
clean (low carbon emission), and safe energy option in
a warming world. In fact, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission (NRC) has just cleared the way for granting
the first two licenses for any new reactors in more than
30 years. The new reactors will be built at the Vogtle
plant in Georgia, southeast of Augusta.
Even so, the ongoing crisis following meltdowns in three
of the six reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear complex
in Japan nearly a year ago has shined an unwanted spotlight
on the dark side of nuclear power, once again raising
questions about the reliability and safety of atomic reactors.
In response, the nuclear industry and its supporters have
employed sophisticated press manipulation to move the
public conversation away from these thorny issues. One
example is PBS’s recent Frontline documentary, Nuclear
Aftershocks, which examines the viability of nuclear power
in a post-Fukushima world.
What follows is a detailed critique of many of the issues
raised in the program, which initially aired January 17,
2012.
***
In the program, NASA’s celebrated chief climate
scientist, James Hansen—who has a penchant for getting
arrested protesting the extraction and burning of the
dirtiest fossil fuels—says that the Fukushima accident
was “really extremely bad timing.” Though
it was at the end of a statement about the harm of continuing
to burn fossil fuels, Hansen’s comment begs the
question: Is there ever a good time or place for a nuclear
catastrophe?
Under the cloud of what some experts believe is already
worse than Chernobyl, the nuclear industry and its supporters
are scrambling to put as good a face on the Fukushima
Daiichi disaster as possible.
Fukushima’s triple meltdowns, which are greatly
complicating and prolonging the cleanup of the estimated
20 million metric tons of debris from the 9.0 earthquake
and subsequent tsunami last March, present a steep public
relations challenge.
The strategy seems to be: 1) to acknowledge the undeniable—the
blown-up reactor buildings that look like they were bombed
in a war, the massive release of radionuclides into the
environment, the fact that tens of thousands of people
have been displaced from their homes and livelihoods,
and that some areas may not be habitable for generations,
if ever. But then, 2) after coming clean about those harsh
truths, downplay or dismiss the harm of the ongoing radiation
contamination, invoking (irrational) “fear”
as the much greater danger. And 3) frame discussion of
the need for nuclear power in the even scarier context
of global warming-induced catastrophic climate change
(this despite the irony that the reality of global warming
is still rejected by fossil fuel industry partisans and
growing numbers of the public who have been swayed by
the industry’s media-amplified misinformation).
Whether consciously or not, Frontline’s Nuclear
Aftershocks adheres to this PR strategy.
The program begins with a harrowing view of nuclear power
at its most destructive. Viewers see close-ups of the
three destroyed Fukushima Daiichi reactors with the tops
of their buildings blown off amidst the wreckage around
the plant. Real time video captured on cell phones shows
the precipitating earthquake, and there is film of the
ensuing tsunami that engulfed the plant.
Frontline also captures the dystopian scene of an utterly
destroyed landscape littered with seemingly unending tracts
of twisted and broken buildings, infrastructure, and the
various trappings of modern Japanese life—much of
it now radioactive detritus. A member of the Japanese
Atomic Energy Commission who toured the plant six weeks
after the beginning of the disaster sums it up with this
simple comment: “This scenery is beyond my imagination.”
Frontline clearly explains how, without electricity to
run the valves and pumps that push water through the reactors’
cooling systems, the intensely radioactive and thermally
hot fuel in three of the six General Electric Mark 1 boiling
water reactors (BWRs) then in operation quickly began
to melt. (Loss of all electricity is one of the most dangerous
situations for a nuclear reactor, and is known as a station
blackout.) This in turn led to a build-up of hydrogen,
which is highly combustible, in the reactor buildings
where any small spark could—and did—trigger
explosions.
“It was an unprecedented multiple meltdown disaster,”
Frontline correspondent Miles O’Brien reports. “For
the first time since the Chernobyl accident in 1986, large
quantities of dangerous radioactive materials—about
one-tenth of the Chernobyl release—spewed into the
atmosphere from a stricken nuclear power plant.”
As bad as that was, O’Brien says the problems for
plant owner Tokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco,) were
only just beginning. That’s because Tepco had to
try to keep the reactors cooled with enough water in order
to prevent the absolute worst, what is popularly but misleadingly
referred to as “The China Syndrome.”
According to nuclear engineer Arnie Gundersen, a China
Syndrome accident is a three-stage progression. In stage
one, all of the fuel inside a reactor melts and turns
into a blob at the bottom of the reactor core (the “meltdown”).
In stage two, the molten radioactive blob eats through
the nuclear reactor vessel (“a melt-through”),
which in the case of GE Mark 1 BWRs is an eight-inch steel
encasement. Housing the reactor vessel is the containment
structure, three feet of concrete lined with two inches
of steel. If the melted nuclear fuel were to bore through
that and hit the natural water table below the plant,
it would result in a massive steam explosion that would
send most of the reactor’s deadly contents into
the air, where they would disperse far and wide.
Although CUNY physics professor Michio Kaku said on ABC’s
Nightline, that Tepco’s efforts were “like
a squirt gun trying to put out a forest fire,” the
company was able to get enough water in to keep the fuel
cool enough to prevent the absolute worst case.
Gundersen says that was the good news.
The bad news is that the water that has come into direct
contact with the melted fuel in the three destroyed reactors
(including water that is still covering them) is leaking
out the side through cracks in the containment structures,
filling other buildings at the plant, and seeping down
into the groundwater below and around the plant and directly
into the Pacific Ocean. Frontline acknowledges the problem,
pointing out that because of the high levels of radiation,
it will be “a long time” before the site is
decontaminated enough for anyone to be able to get inside
the reactor to see exactly where the cracks are and to
fix them.
As significant a problem as this ongoing contamination
is, the biggest discharges of radioactivity into the Pacific—considered
the largest ever release of radioactive material into
the sea—occurred within the first seven weeks of
the accident. At its peak concentration, cesium-137 levels
from Fukushima were 50 million times greater than levels
measured before the accident, according to research by
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution chemist, Ken Buesseler
and two Japanese colleagues.
It’s impossible to know exactly how much radioactivity
contaminated the Pacific or what the full impact on the
marine food chain will be. A preliminary estimate by the
Japan Atomic Energy Agency reported in the Japanese daily
Asahi Shimbun in October said that more than 15 quadrillion
becquerels of radioactivity poured into the ocean just
from the Fukushima Unit 1 reactor between March 21st and
April 30th last year. (One quadrillion equals 1,000 trillion.)
A report in January in the Montreal Gazette noted that
Japanese testing for radioactive cesium revealed contamination
in sixteen of 22 species of fish exported to Canada. Radioactive
cesium was found in 73 percent of the mackerel tested,
91 percent of the halibut, 92 percent of the sardines,
93 percent of the tuna and eel, 94 percent of the cod
and anchovies, and 100 percent of the carp, seaweed, shark,
and monkfish. These tests were conducted in November and
indicate that the radioactivity is spreading, because
tuna, for example, is caught at least 900 kilometers (560
miles) off shore.
Real Health Concerns or Just Fear?
In summing up the disaster, Frontline’s O’Brien
says: “The earthquake and tsunami had stripped whole
towns from their foundations, killing an estimated 18,000
people. Life is forever changed here.”
But then he shifts from documenting the undeniable devastation
to speculating on how big a problem remains: “[T]he
big concern remains the radioactive fallout from the Fukushima
nuclear explosions. People here are fearful about how
much radiation there is, how far it has spread, and the
possible health effects.”
Japanese citizens have decried their government’s
decision to allow radiation exposures of up to 20 millisieverts
a year before ordering an evacuation. O’Brien equates
this level with “two or three abdominal CAT scans
in the same period” but nevertheless characterizes
it as “conservative.” What follows is his
exchange with Dr. Gen Suzuki, a radiation specialist with
the Japanese Nuclear Safety Commission.
MILES O’BRIEN: [on camera] So at 20 millisieverts
over the course of a long period of time, what is the
increased cancer risk?
GEN SUZUKI, Radiation specialist, Nuclear Safety Comm.:
Yeah, it’s 0.2— 0.2 percent increase in lifetime.
MILES O’BRIEN: [on camera] 0.2 percent over the
course of a lifetime?
GEN SUZUKI: Yeah.
MILES O’BRIEN: So your normal risk of cancer in
Japan is?
GEN SUZUKI: Is 30 percent.
MILES O’BRIEN: So what is the increased cancer rate?
GEN SUZUKI: 30.2 percent, so the increment is quite small.
MILES O’BRIEN: And yet the fear is quite high.
GEN SUZUKI: Yes, that’s true.
MILES O’BRIEN: [voice-over] People are even concerned
here, in Fukushima City, outside the evacuation zone,
where radiation contamination is officially below any
danger level.
Missing from the above exchange is both established and
emerging radiation biology science, as well as the fact
that radiation exposure is linked to numerous other health
problems from immune system damage, heart problems and
gastro-intestinal ailments to birth defects, including
Down’s syndrome.
Gundersen points out that, according to the U.S. National
Academy of Sciences 2006 BEIR report (BEIR stands for
Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation), an annual exposure
of 20 millisieverts will cause cancer in one of every
500 people. Since this is an annual exposure rate, the
risk multiplies with each year of exposure. So, for example,
five years of exposure to 20 millisieverts will result
in an additional cancer in one in 100 people.
Gundersen notes that the risk is not the same for all
population groups. According to Table 12-D in BEIR VII
Phase 2, the younger the person exposed, the greater the
risk of cancer.
Girls are nearly twice as vulnerable as boys of the same
age, while an infant girl is seven times and a five-year-old
girl five times more likely to get radiation-induced cancer
than a 30-year-old male. Using BEIR’s risk data,
one in 100 girls will develop cancer for every year that
they are exposed to 20 millisieverts. If they are exposed
for five years, the rate increases to one in twenty.
New radiobiology science shows even more cause for concern.
Numerous studies of nuclear workers over the last six
years—including one authored by 51 radiation scientists
that looked at more than 400,000 nuclear workers in 15
countries—found higher incidences of cancer at significantly
lower exposure rates than what Japan is allowing.
This finding is important because it challenges the application
of the highly questionable data from the Japanese atom
bomb survivors that authorities use to set radiation exposure
limits.
Nuclear reactors emit low doses of radionuclides into
the air as part of their normal operation. Because workers
are generally exposed to repeated low doses over time,
compared to an initial very high dose from a nuclear bomb,
this data is a much more accurate predictor of radiation-induced
cancer in people in fallout zones, or downwind of nuclear
reactors, than records of Hiroshima and Nagasaki survivors.
Despite the fact that the National Academy of Sciences
accepts that there is no safe dose of radiation, nuclear
proponents have long insisted that low doses provided
very little, if any, risk from cancer. (Some even say
it’s beneficial.)
But new evidence shows otherwise. Chromosomal translocations
(or aberrations), a kind of genetic injury that occurs
when DNA molecules damaged by genotoxic chemicals or radiation
don’t properly repair themselves, are well documented
in cases of medium to high radiation exposure. Chromosomal
translocations are also known to increase the risk of
many forms of cancer.
Until recently, it wasn’t clear whether low-dose
exposures caused chromosomal translocations. A 2010 study
looking at the impact of medical X rays on chromosomes
not only found that this chromosomal damage occurs with
low dose radiation exposure, but that there were more
chromosomal translocations per unit of radiation below
20 millisieverts (the Japanese limit) and—surprisingly—“orders
of magnitude” more of this kind of damage at exposures
below 10 millisieverts.
Frontline’s complacent assessment of the “small
increment” of increased cancer risk to Japanese
citizens from the ongoing Fukushima fallout contrasts
sharply with an assessment by the Canadian Medical Association
Journal. That peer-reviewed journal quotes health experts
who say the levels of radiation the Japanese government
has set before requiring evacuation, combined with a “culture
of cover-up” and insufficient cleanup, is exposing
Japanese citizens to “unconscionable” levels
of radiation.
CMAJ notes that instead of expanding the evacuation zone
around the plant to 50 miles, as international authorities
have urged, the Japanese government has chosen to “define
the problem out of existence” by raising the allowable
level of exposure to one that is twenty times higher than
the international standard of one millisievert per year.
This “arbitrary increase” in the maximum permissible
dose of radiation is an “unconscionable” failure
of government, contends [chair of the Medical Association
for Prevention of Nuclear War, Tilman] Ruff. “Subject
a class of 30 children to 20 millisieverts of radiation
for five years and you’re talking an increased risk
of cancer to the order of about 1 in 30, which is completely
unacceptable. I’m not aware of any other government
in recent decades that’s been willing to accept
such a high level of radiation-related risk for its population.”
Frontline’s take epitomizes a longstanding pattern
of denying radiation health effects, even in the most
dire nuclear disasters (though Fukushima is arguably the
most dire to date) and blaming it on the victims’
personal habits or their levels of stress from fear of
radiation. This was done to the victims of the March 1979
accident at Three Mile Island in central Pennsylvania,
to Chernobyl victims, and it is happening again with Fukushima.
Nuclear TINA
But what about alternatives? Are there any, or does Margaret
Thatcher’s famous slogan regarding capitalist globalization,
“There Is No Alternative” (TINA) apply?
Frontline answers this question by going to Germany, where
correspondent O’Brien probes the German psyche in
an attempt to learn why nuclear power elicits such a strong
negative reaction there.
He questions several German citizens, including an adorable
little boy, on why they are so afraid of nuclear power.
He speaks with the head of the German government committee
tasked with considering how to phase out nuclear power,
as well as a German energy economist, who says the decision
is not likely to change.
And he expresses astonishment that an industrial nation
the scale of Germany has decided to shut down all seventeen
of its reactors, which account for 23 percent of its electricity
generation, within a decade.
Standing in a field that he identifies as the world’s
largest solar farm with solar panels as far as the eye
can see, O’Brien says Germans support this “seemingly
rash decision” because they have faith that there
is an alternative.
He then informs viewers that over the past 20 years, Germany
has “invested heavily in renewables, with tax subsidies
for wind turbines and solar energy,” adding, “It’s
kind of surprising to see [the world’s largest solar
farm] in a place like this with such precious little sunshine.”
Though he says there is plenty of wind, he characterizes
Germany’s target of producing 80 percent of its
energy from renewable sources by 2050 as a “bold
bet” whose success will depend on technological
breakthroughs to store enough wind or other renewable
energy (presumably through improved battery technology)
so that it can provide a steady source of power. He notes
that the steady production of power is something “nuclear
energy does very well.”
Atomiconomics
Any honest discussion of nuclear power—especially
when raising the issue of tax subsidies and other government
support for renewable sources like wind and solar—must
include information on the many hundreds of billions of
dollars of public support thrown its way. Despite the
highly publicized recent bankruptcy of Solyndra, this
support dwarfs what has been given to renewables.
In the executive summary to his February 2011 report on
nuclear subsidies, energy economist Doug Koplow says the
“long and expensive history of taxpayer subsidies
and excessive charges to utility ratepayers…not
only enabled the nation’s existing reactors to be
built in the first place, [they] have also supported their
operation for decades.”
Every part of the nuclear fuel chain—mining, milling
and enriching the uranium fuel; costs associated with
the construction, running, and shutting down and cleaning
up of reactors; the waste; and even the lion’s share
of the liability in the case of an accident—has
been subsidized to one degree or another.
Koplow says that because the value of these subsidies
often exceeded the value of the power produced, “buying
power on the open market and giving it away for free would
have been less costly than subsidizing the construction
and operation of nuclear power plants.”
One of the most important gifts to the nuclear industry
is the pass on financial responsibility for a serious
accident. This was legislated during the Cold War in the
Price-Anderson Act of 1957. In fact, without this protection,
it’s highly unlikely the commercial nuclear power
industry could or would exist.
In a recent article in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
arguing for the end of Price-Anderson, nuclear industry
economic analyst Mark Cooper points out that 50 years
ago General Electric and Westinghouse, the two largest
reactor manufacturers, said they wouldn’t build
reactors without it.
Although Price-Anderson was initially rationalized (along
with many of the other subsidies) as necessary protection
to help get the fledgling industry going, Congress has
repeatedly renewed it over the years.
Today, reactor owners have to carry a small amount of
private insurance, and Price-Anderson creates an industry-wide
pool currently valued at around $12 billion. Accounting
for inflation, Cooper puts the estimated costs of Chernobyl
in excess of $600 billion. In Japan, the Fukushima accident
is projected to cost up to $250 billion (though it could
well be more). Here in the U.S., Cooper says, a serious
accident at, say, Indian Point, just 35 miles north of
Manhattan, could cost as much as $1.5 trillion.
If such an accident were to happen in the U.S., taxpayers
would be left with the tab for the difference.
But even with all of the subsidies, the cost of building
a new reactor—pegged at between $6 billion and $12
billion apiece—is still so expensive that reactors
only get built with substantial government help.
To jumpstart a new round of nuclear construction, the
Obama administration is trying to offer $54.5 billion
in loan guarantees (only $18.5 billion is actually authorized
by Congress). This means that if a project is delayed
or cancelled for some reason—including for concerns
over safety—taxpayers pick up the tab for that delay
or cancellation.
Although the U.S. Department of Energy is expected to
approve $8.3 billion in loan guarantees for the two new
reactors at the Vogtle plant in Georgia any day now, significant
concerns remain over the lack of transparency regarding
the federal loan guarantees.
Besides the massive federal subsidies, the nuclear industry
has also succeeded in getting three states so far, South
Carolina, Georgia, and Florida, to pass legislation mandating
“advanced cost recovery.” This allows nuclear
utilities to collect the cost of building a reactor from
their customers before it is built.
Advanced cost recovery programs have existed in the past,
but Morgan Pinnell, Safe Energy Program coordinator at
Physicians for Social Responsibility, says the new ones
the nuclear industry is pushing are particularly irresponsible
from a public-interest point of view.
For example, in December 2011, a resolution was offered
to the St. Petersburg City Council to repeal the 2006
legislation, F.S. 366.93, citing, among other things,
that the two reactors that Progress Energy proposed for
Levy County would raise Progress Energy customers’
bills more than $60 a month. Even if the reactors are
never built, it’s not clear whether the utility
would have to pay the money back.
Are Nukes Green?
Back in the 1980s, when nuclear power was widely considered
a pariah, growing concern about global warming in government
circles provided an opportunity for the beleaguered industry.
Since it was recognized that nuclear power plants, unlike
coal plants, did not produce carbon emissions when generating
electricity, the UN International Atomic Energy Agency
and some policymakers began to promote nuclear energy
as a necessary power source in a warming world.
By the early nineties, the nuclear industry began casting
itself as the clean, green “fresh air” energy
source, a description that goes unchallenged in today’s
mainstream media. Towing this line, Frontline’s
Nuclear Aftershocks argues that nuclear power is needed
to combat climate change.
It bears asking how true, or even realistic, this claim
is. In order to avoid the most catastrophic effects of
global warming, many climate scientists have been saying
for at least the better part of a decade that by 2050
humanity needs to reduce global carbon emissions 80 percent
from what was emitted in 2000.
An MIT task force report, The Future of Nuclear Power,
written ostensibly to figure out how to do that, calls
for 1,000 to 1,500 thousand-megawatts electric (MWe) capacity
reactors to be up and running by 2050 to increase the
share of nuclear-generated electricity from 20 percent
to 30 percent in the U.S. and 17 percent to 20 percent
globally. (Currently there are 435 reactors operating
in the world and 104 at 60 different locations in the
U.S.)
The first page of the executive summary of the report
says that such a deployment would “avoid 1.8 billion
tonnes of carbon emissions from coal plants, about 25
percent of the increment in a business-as-usual scenario.”
But displacement of 25 percent of the expected growth
in carbon emissions does not square with the need to cut
emissions by 80 percent by 2050. That aside, the 2009
update of the report notes that progress on building new
reactors has been slow, both globally and in the U.S.
The 2003 report reveals another hitch in this plan: in
order to deal with the nuclear waste from that many new
reactors, an underground repository the size of the highly
controversial and cancelled Yucca Mountain would have
to be built somewhere in the world every four years. It
bears noting that we are in the sixth decade since commercial
nuclear power generation began and not one permanent repository
has been completed anywhere in the world.
Some people are calling for fuel reprocessing, which takes
spent nuclear fuel and uses a chemical process to extract
plutonium and uranium to make more nuclear fuel. Aside
from the fact that reprocessing wouldn’t actually
reduce the volume of spent nuclear fuel very much, it’s
dangerous, expensive, and irresponsibly polluting (the
West Valley reprocessing plant in Western New York, which
ran for six years between 1966 and 1972, is still a huge
toxic mess).
Reprocessing also creates lots of weapons-grade plutonium
that can be made into atomic bombs, a feature that one
might question in our increasingly tense and politically
unstable world.
Other nuclear enthusiasts see a magic bullet in thorium
reactors, but according to a 2009 Department of Energy
study, “the choice between uranium-based fuel and
thorium-based fuels is seen basically as one of preference,
with no fundamental difference in addressing the nuclear
power issues.”
One specific design, the “liquid fluoride thorium
reactor, or LFTR (pronounced “lifter”) has
attained cult status as a “new, green nuke”
that its promoters say will produce a virtually endless
supply of electricity that is “too cheap to meter”
in “meltdown proof” reactors, creating miniscule
quantities of much shorter-lived waste that is impossible
to refashion into nuclear bombs.
But critics say these claims are fiction. Thorium technology
is significantly more expensive than the already exorbitant
uranium-fueled reactors, so there are serious doubts it
could ever be commercially viable without much higher
subsidies than the nuclear industry already receives.
There are also serious safety concerns with reactors that
run on liquid fuel comprised of hot, molten salt, as the
LFTR design does.
Ed Lyman, senior scientist in the Global Security program
at the Union of Concerned Scientists, says a small prototype
of the LFTR that operated at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory
in the 1960s remains “one of the most technically
challenging cleanup problems that Oak Ridge faces.”
Nukes in a Warming World
The need for nuclear power has been sold to the public
as a way to prevent the existential threat of catastrophic
climate change. But that argument can be turned the other
way. In a world of increasingly extreme weather events,
we need to question the wisdom of having more potential
sources of widespread, deadly radiological contamination
that could be overwhelmed by some Fukushima-style natural
disaster.
In a presentation to the San Clemente City Council, home
of the troubled San Onofre nuclear power plant, which
is right on the Pacific Ocean halfway between Los Angeles
and San Diego, nuclear engineer Arnie Gundersen points
out that U.S. nuclear plants are designed to meet whatever
industry designers think Mother Nature is expected to
throw at them. This requirement—their “design
basis”—is found in the Nuclear Regulatory
Commission’s 10 CFR Part 50, Appendix A, No. 2.
Different locations have different risks, so the requirements
for plants vary. For example, nuclear plants in California
are designed to be able to withstand stronger earthquakes
than, say, the reactor in Vermont. Likewise, plants built
in Florida are designed to handle more severe hurricanes
than plants in upstate New York.
The requirements are set for a one-in-a-thousand year
event. Considering that four events exceeded the design
basis of nuclear reactors in the past year—the 9.0
To¯hoku earthquake in Japan, the tsunami that followed,
the flooding of the Missouri River around the Ft. Calhoun
nuclear plant in Nebraska, and the 5.8 earthquake centered
near the North Anna plant in Virginia (two of which resulted
in disaster)—how confident can we be that either
nuclear operators or the NRC have anticipated the worst
nature can throw at us?
Using the thousand-year scenario, Gundersen points out
that for any one reactor running for 60 years, there’s
a 6 percent chance that it will see an event as bad as
or worse than what it was designed for. Multiplying that
6 percent by the 60 nuclear plant locations bumps it up
to a 360 percent chance.
“In other words,” Gundersen says, “it’s
a near certainty that some plant in the U.S. over its
lifetime will experience an event worse than designers
had anticipated. As a matter of fact, it’s more
like three or four plants…”
As the impacts from global warming worsen, the risks will
undoubtedly increase.
Consider that 2011 broke all records for billion-dollar
weather disasters in the U.S. AP science writer Seth Borenstein
recently described it this way: “With an almost
biblical onslaught of twisters, floods, snow, drought,
heat and wildfire, the U.S. in 2011 has seen more weather
catastrophes that caused at least $1 billion in damage
than it did in all of the 1980s, even after the dollar
figures from back then are adjusted for inflation.”
But it wasn’t just the U.S.: 2011 also saw record-breaking
extremes all over the world throughout the year. Ross
Gelbspan, whose 1997 book The Heat is On chronicled the
fossil fuel lobby’s remarkably successful campaign
to deceive the public and derail any action to address
global climate destabilization, catalogues a hefty list
of meteorological calamities from floods, torrential rains
and massive mudslides, colossal snowstorms, ripping windstorms,
and tornadoes to withering heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires
here and here.
With or without nuclear power, the escalation of global
warming isn’t likely to slow any time soon. Though
a recent discovery of the effectiveness of polyethylemimine
at capturing CO2 sounds promising (researchers say it
sequesters carbon at large industrial sources, small individual
sources like car exhausts, and can even pull it directly
from the air), it remains to be seen how quickly scrubbers
from this material can be manufactured and deployed and
how well they will actually work.
In any case, fossil fuel companies are doubling down on
their pursuit of “unconventional” fossil fuels
like natural gas from shale, coalbed methane, and tight
gas sands (fracking), and oil from deepwater wells and
tar sands—all in all, the dirtiest (in terms of
greenhouse gas and other pollution), riskiest, and most
energy-intensive sources.
And in the absence of policies to reduce greenhouse gases,
the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s International
Energy Outlook 2011 projects global coal use to rise 50
percent between 2008 and 2035 from 139 quadrillion Btu
to 209 quadrillion Btu.
Despite the increasing urgency to tackle global warming,
the most recent global climate talks in Durban failed
to reach agreement on extending the Kyoto Protocol, which
laid out the world’s only legally binding (but subsequently
ignored) carbon emissions reductions.
It’s time to reexamine a lot of the assumptions
that lurk beneath the nuclear-power-is-necessary-to-deal-with-climate-change
narrative. There was no mention in Frontline’s Nuclear
Aftershocks program or any other mainstream media that
I have seen about the big elephant in the room: the voracious
energy-gobbling economy—which creates the need for
enormous, centralized power sources—that’s
making the planet (and us) sick.
When junk-food addicted smokers get diabetes, cancer,
heart disease, or any number of other maladies considered
“lifestyle diseases,” the admonishment that
they need to change their lifestyle is typically accepted
without question.
We would do well to start applying that same logic to
the way our societies use energy and the kind of economy
such energy use powers, rather than blindly accept the
Hobson’s choice of either turning the Earth into
Venus because of global warming or poisoning large swaths
of it with radioactivity.